A Trap at the Escape from the Trap? Some Demographic Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modernizing Social Systems

Korotayev, Andrey; Malkov, Sergey; Grinin, Leonid

[collection article]

dc.contributor.author	Korotayev, Andrey	de
dc.contributor.author	Malkov, Sergey	de
dc.contributor.author	Grinin, Leonid	de
dc.contributor.editor	Grinin, Leonid	de
dc.contributor.editor	Korotayev, Andrey	de
dc.date.accessioned	2018-09-07T11:00:50Z
dc.date.available	2018-09-07T11:00:50Z
dc.date.issued	2014	de
dc.identifier.isbn	978-5-7057-4223-3	de
dc.identifier.uri	https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/58888
dc.description.abstract	The escape from the ‘Malthusian trap’ is shown to tend to generate in a rather systematic way quite serious political upheavals. Some demographic structural mechanisms that generate such upheavals have been analyzed, which has made it possible to develop a mathematical model of the respective processes. The forecast of political instability in Sub-Saharan African countries in 2015– 2050 produced on the basis of this model is presented.	de
dc.language	en	de
dc.publisher	Uchitel Publishing House	de
dc.subject.ddc	Soziologie, Anthropologie	de
dc.subject.ddc	Sociology & anthropology	en
dc.subject.ddc	Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie	de
dc.subject.ddc	Social sciences, sociology, anthropology	en
dc.subject.other	modernization; instability; Malthusian trap; mathematical modeling; youth bulge; urbanization; Africa; demographic dynamics; demographic transition; political dynamics; political demography	de
dc.title	A Trap at the Escape from the Trap? Some Demographic Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modernizing Social Systems	de
dc.description.review	begutachtet (peer reviewed)	de
dc.description.review	peer reviewed	en
dc.source.collection	History & Mathematics: Trends and Cycles; Yearbook	de
dc.publisher.country	RUS
dc.publisher.city	Volgograd	de
dc.subject.classoz	Allgemeine Soziologie, Makrosoziologie, spezielle Theorien und Schulen, Entwicklung und Geschichte der Soziologie	de
dc.subject.classoz	General Sociology, Basic Research, General Concepts and History of Sociology, Sociological Theories	en
dc.subject.classoz	Bevölkerung	de
dc.subject.classoz	Population Studies, Sociology of Population	en
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-58888-5
dc.rights.licence	Digital Peer Publishing Licence - Basismodul	de
dc.rights.licence	Basic Digital Peer Publishing Licence	en
internal.status	noch nicht fertig erschlossen	de
dc.type.stock	incollection	de
dc.type.document	Sammelwerksbeitrag	de
dc.type.document	collection article	en
dc.source.pageinfo	201-267	de
internal.identifier.classoz	10201
internal.identifier.classoz	10303
internal.identifier.document	25
internal.identifier.ddc	301
internal.identifier.ddc	300
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
internal.identifier.licence	4
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.identifier.review	1
dc.subject.classhort	30300	de
dc.subject.classhort	10100	de
dc.subject.classhort	10500	de
dc.subject.classhort	20700	de
dc.subject.classhort	10200	de
dc.subject.classhort	10900	de
internal.pdf.version	1.5
internal.pdf.valid	true
internal.pdf.wellformed	true

Files in this item

Name:: ssoar-2014-korotayev_et_al-A_T ...
Size:: 878.8Kb
Format:: PDF

View/Open

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Allgemeine Soziologie, Makrosoziologie, spezielle Theorien und "Schulen", Entwicklung und Geschichte der Soziologie
General Sociology, Basic Research, General Concepts and History of Sociology, Sociological Theories
Bevölkerung
Population Studies, Sociology of Population

Show simple item record