Download full text
(596.3Kb)
Citation Suggestion
Please use the following Persistent Identifier (PID) to cite this document:
https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-76018-3
Exports for your reference manager
Four scenarios for Belarus by the end of 2022
[working paper]
Corporate Editor
Deutsch-Russischer Austausch (DRA) e.V.
Abstract This Policy Paper outlines four possible scenarios for the future of the political system in Belarus by the end of 2022. The scenarios are based on two key drivers that are crucial for political developments in Belarus: the level of social mobilization and democratic transition. The Policy Pape... view more
This Policy Paper outlines four possible scenarios for the future of the political system in Belarus by the end of 2022. The scenarios are based on two key drivers that are crucial for political developments in Belarus: the level of social mobilization and democratic transition. The Policy Paper creates a framework for alternative thinking and outlines important insights, opportunities, and risks. It also formulates desirable normative options for political developments in Belarus in the upcoming twelve months and gives policy recommendations on how to make them possible.... view less
Keywords
EU; international relations; social movement; democratization; opposition; authoritarian system; transition; Russia; Belorussia; political system; political development; scenario
Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Free Keywords
Belarus; Lukashenko; social mobilization; Eastern Partnership
Document language
English
Publication Year
2021
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
28 p.
Series
Policy Paper / Arbeitskreis Belarus
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Creative Commons - Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0