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@book{ Dryndova2021,
 title = {Four scenarios for Belarus by the end of 2022},
 author = {Dryndova, Olga and Kazakevich, Andrei and Radniankou, Anton and Shmatsina, Katsiaryna and Slunkin, Pavel and Reichardt, Adam and Wanczyk, Kacper and Wierzbowska-Miazga, Agata and Burkhardt, Fabian and Krutzinna, Daniel and Rakhlei, Maryna and Wöllenstein, Jakob},
 year = {2021},
 series = {Policy Paper / Arbeitskreis Belarus},
 pages = {28},
 address = {Berlin},
 publisher = {Deutsch-Russischer Austausch (DRA) e.V.},
 urn = {https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-76018-3},
 abstract = {This Policy Paper outlines four possible scenarios for the future of the political  system in Belarus by the end of 2022. The scenarios are based on two key drivers  that are crucial for political developments in Belarus: the level of social mobilization  and democratic transition.   The Policy Paper creates a framework for alternative thinking and outlines  important insights, opportunities, and risks. It also formulates desirable normative  options for political developments in Belarus in the upcoming twelve months and  gives policy recommendations on how to make them possible.},
 keywords = {politisches System; EU; international relations; Szenario; soziale Bewegung; social movement; democratization; Transition; opposition; politische Entwicklung; autoritäres System; authoritarian system; Russland; transition; Opposition; Russia; Belorussia; political system; Demokratisierung; internationale Beziehungen; Weißrussland; political development; scenario; EU}}