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An alternative to estimate the polls accuracy
[journal article]

dc.contributor.authorPeña, Ricardo de lade
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-31T14:11:51Z
dc.date.available2018-10-31T14:11:51Z
dc.date.issued2018de
dc.identifier.issn0188-7742de
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/59902
dc.description.abstractThe intent of this paper is to present an alternative estimator to measure the accuracy of the polls and some derived estimators, which seeks to cushion problems detected in the available options. This is achieved by adjusting the value of the absolute differences according to the statistical error of the estimates and, to allow a symmetrical behavior of the indicator, to convert it into its logarithm. The expectation is that these estimators provide a useful tool for future analysis on the accuracy of pre-election polls.de
dc.languageesde
dc.subject.ddcPolitikwissenschaftde
dc.subject.ddcPolitical scienceen
dc.subject.othermeasurement; precision; accuracy; polls; electionsde
dc.titleUna alternativa para estimar la exactitud de las encuestases
dc.title.alternativeAn alternative to estimate the polls accuracyen
dc.description.reviewbegutachtet (peer reviewed)de
dc.description.reviewpeer revieweden
dc.source.journalPolítica y Cultura
dc.publisher.countryMISC
dc.source.issue49de
dc.subject.classozPolitical Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Cultureen
dc.subject.classozpolitische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kulturde
dc.subject.thesozprognosisen
dc.subject.thesozWahlergebnisde
dc.subject.thesozelection resulten
dc.subject.thesozelection researchen
dc.subject.thesozSchätzungde
dc.subject.thesozWahlforschungde
dc.subject.thesozestimationen
dc.subject.thesozPrognosede
dc.identifier.urnurn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-59902-3
dc.rights.licenceDigital Peer Publishing Licence - Freie DIPP-Lizenzde
dc.rights.licenceFree Digital Peer Publishing Licenceen
internal.statusformal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossende
internal.identifier.thesoz10036432
internal.identifier.thesoz10054727
internal.identifier.thesoz10061867
internal.identifier.thesoz10057146
dc.type.stockarticlede
dc.type.documentjournal articleen
dc.type.documentZeitschriftenartikelde
dc.source.pageinfo123-156de
internal.identifier.classoz10504
internal.identifier.journal823
internal.identifier.document32
internal.identifier.ddc320
dc.description.pubstatusPublished Versionen
dc.description.pubstatusVeröffentlichungsversionde
internal.identifier.licence5
internal.identifier.pubstatus1
internal.identifier.review1
dc.subject.classhort10500de
internal.pdf.wellformedtrue
internal.pdf.encryptedfalse


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