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Una alternativa para estimar la exactitud de las encuestas
An alternative to estimate the polls accuracy
[Zeitschriftenartikel]
Abstract The intent of this paper is to present an alternative estimator to measure the accuracy
of the polls and some derived estimators, which seeks to cushion problems detected in
the available options. This is achieved by adjusting the value of the absolute differences
according to the statistical err... mehr
The intent of this paper is to present an alternative estimator to measure the accuracy
of the polls and some derived estimators, which seeks to cushion problems detected in
the available options. This is achieved by adjusting the value of the absolute differences
according to the statistical error of the estimates and, to allow a symmetrical behavior
of the indicator, to convert it into its logarithm. The expectation is that these estimators
provide a useful tool for future analysis on the accuracy of pre-election polls.... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
Wahlergebnis; Schätzung; Wahlforschung; Prognose
Klassifikation
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Freie Schlagwörter
measurement; precision; accuracy; polls; elections
Sprache Dokument
Spanisch
Publikationsjahr
2018
Seitenangabe
S. 123-156
Zeitschriftentitel
Política y Cultura (2018) 49
ISSN
0188-7742
Status
Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)