Against all odds? The red-green victory

Norpoth, Helmut; Gschwend, Thomas

[journal article]

dc.contributor.author	Norpoth, Helmut	de
dc.contributor.author	Gschwend, Thomas	de
dc.date.accessioned	2011-07-14T14:35:00Z	de
dc.date.accessioned	2012-08-29T22:44:01Z
dc.date.available	2012-08-29T22:44:01Z
dc.date.issued	2003	de
dc.identifier.uri	http://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/25814
dc.description.abstract	"Picking Winners in electoral contests is a popular sport in Germany, as in many places elsewhere. During the 2002 campaign for the Bundestag, pre election polls tracked the horse race of party support almost daily. Election junkies were invited to enter online sweepstakes. They could also bet real money albeit in limited quantity, on the parties' fortunes on WAHL$TREET, a mock stock market run by DIE ZEIT an other media. As usual, election night witnessed the race of the networks to project the winner the second the polls where voters had cast their ballots closed. But in 2002, there was also one newcomer in the business of electoral prophecy: a statistical forecast based on insights from electoral research. (...)" (excerpt)	en
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.ddc	Politikwissenschaft	de
dc.subject.ddc	Political science	en
dc.title	Against all odds? The red-green victory	en
dc.identifier.url	http://www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/gschwend/pdf/publications/NorpothGschwend03_%20Against_All_Odds.pdf	de
dc.source.journal	German Politics and Society	de
dc.source.volume	21	de
dc.publisher.country	GBR
dc.source.issue	1	de
dc.subject.classoz	Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture	en
dc.subject.classoz	politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Bundesrepublik Deutschland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	prognosis	en
dc.subject.thesoz	voting behavior	en
dc.subject.thesoz	statistical analysis	en
dc.subject.thesoz	statistische Analyse	de
dc.subject.thesoz	model	en
dc.subject.thesoz	election to the Bundestag	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Prognose	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Modell	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Wahlverhalten	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Federal Republic of Germany	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Wahlergebnis	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Bundestagswahl	de
dc.subject.thesoz	election result	en
dc.subject.thesoz	election research	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Wahlforschung	de
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-258148	de
dc.date.modified	2011-10-21T18:14:00Z	de
dc.rights.licence	Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung	de
dc.rights.licence	Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications	en
ssoar.greylit	f	de
ssoar.gesis.collection	SOLIS;ADIS	de
ssoar.contributor.institution	USB Köln	de
internal.status	3	de
internal.identifier.thesoz	10061173
internal.identifier.thesoz	10035472
internal.identifier.thesoz	10037571
internal.identifier.thesoz	10036432
internal.identifier.thesoz	10040137
internal.identifier.thesoz	10036422
internal.identifier.thesoz	10054727
internal.identifier.thesoz	10061867
dc.type.stock	article	de
dc.type.document	journal article	en
dc.type.document	Zeitschriftenartikel	de
dc.rights.copyright	f	de
dc.source.pageinfo	15-34
internal.identifier.classoz	10504
internal.identifier.journal	140	de
internal.identifier.document	32
internal.identifier.ddc	320
dc.subject.methods	Dokumentation	de
dc.subject.methods	documentation	en
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
internal.identifier.licence	3
internal.identifier.methods	3
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.check.abstractlanguageharmonizer	CERTAIN
internal.check.languageharmonizer	CERTAIN_RETAINED

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politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture

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