Download full text
(7.753Mb)
Citation Suggestion
Please use the following Persistent Identifier (PID) to cite this document:
https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-258148
Exports for your reference manager
Against all odds? The red-green victory
[journal article]
Abstract "Picking Winners in electoral contests is a popular sport in Germany, as in many places elsewhere. During the 2002 campaign for the Bundestag, pre election polls tracked the horse race of party support almost daily. Election junkies were invited to enter online sweepstakes. They could also bet real ... view more
"Picking Winners in electoral contests is a popular sport in Germany, as in many places elsewhere. During the 2002 campaign for the Bundestag, pre election polls tracked the horse race of party support almost daily. Election junkies were invited to enter online sweepstakes. They could also bet real money albeit in limited quantity, on the parties' fortunes on WAHL$TREET, a mock stock market run by DIE ZEIT an other media. As usual, election night witnessed the race of the networks to project the winner the second the polls where voters had cast their ballots closed. But in 2002, there was also one newcomer in the business of electoral prophecy: a statistical forecast based on insights from electoral research. (...)" (excerpt)... view less
Keywords
prognosis; voting behavior; statistical analysis; model; election to the Bundestag; Federal Republic of Germany; election result; election research
Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Method
documentation
Document language
English
Publication Year
2003
Page/Pages
p. 15-34
Journal
German Politics and Society, 21 (2003) 1
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications
Data providerThis metadata entry was indexed by the Special Subject Collection Social Sciences, USB Cologne