Ten Things to Watch in Africa in 2025

Basedau, Matthias; Grauvogel, Julia; Krösche, Niklas

[working paper]

dc.contributor.author	Basedau, Matthias	de
dc.contributor.author	Grauvogel, Julia	de
dc.contributor.author	Krösche, Niklas	de
dc.date.accessioned	2025-01-15T10:17:08Z
dc.date.available	2025-01-15T10:17:08Z
dc.date.issued	2025	de
dc.identifier.uri	https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/99011
dc.description.abstract	While economic activity in Africa is set to accelerate in 2025, dissatisfaction with governments is likely to persist. Incumbents will feel pressure via the ballot box and youth protests, and conflict risks remain high. The relative decline of EU influence is prone to continue as the EU's Global Gateway Initiative is yet to deliver. We present a selection of "ten things to watch in Africa" in 2025. Politics: Prospects for democracy remain mixed. The coup wave waned in 2024, and electoral turnover at the ballot box has become more frequent. Formerly popular liberation movements will remain under pressure. However, elections scheduled for 2025 in Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, and Gabon are not expected to result in democratic change even though the use of digital technologies promises to reduce the possibility of fraud. Peace and security: Dissatisfaction with civilian governments can fuel conflict. Jihadism in the wider Sahel, Horn of Africa, and beyond is likely to further intensify and spread. Secessionist conflicts pose latent and manifest risks in Cameroon, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Mali, and elsewhere. Youth protests are expected to continue across the region. International arena: Regional integration in West Africa has suffered a severe setback. At the same time, an isolationalist and transactional US Africa policy under Trump could further reduce "Western" influence. Germany and the EU seek to make "better offers" than contenders such as China and Russia, as security and migration remain important issues for their Africa policies.	de
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.ddc	Internationale Beziehungen	de
dc.subject.ddc	International relations	en
dc.subject.ddc	Politikwissenschaft	de
dc.subject.ddc	Political science	en
dc.subject.other	Nationale Wahlen; Innenpolitischer Konflikt; Afrikapolitik; Internationale regionale politische Integration; Entwicklungsperspektive und -tendenz	de
dc.title	Ten Things to Watch in Africa in 2025	de
dc.description.review	begutachtet	de
dc.description.review	reviewed	en
dc.source.volume	1	de
dc.publisher.country	DEU	de
dc.publisher.city	Hamburg	de
dc.source.series	GIGA Focus Afrika
dc.subject.classoz	internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik	de
dc.subject.classoz	International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy	en
dc.subject.classoz	Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, Sicherheitspolitik	de
dc.subject.classoz	Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Afrika südlich der Sahara	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Africa South of the Sahara	en
dc.subject.thesoz	politische Entwicklung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	political development	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Innenpolitik	de
dc.subject.thesoz	domestic policy	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Demokratie	de
dc.subject.thesoz	democracy	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Demokratisierung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	democratization	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Wahl	de
dc.subject.thesoz	election	en
dc.subject.thesoz	innere Sicherheit	de
dc.subject.thesoz	domestic security	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Konflikt	de
dc.subject.thesoz	conflict	en
dc.subject.thesoz	politische Bewegung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	political movement	en
dc.subject.thesoz	junger Erwachsener	de
dc.subject.thesoz	young adult	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Jugendlicher	de
dc.subject.thesoz	adolescent	en
dc.subject.thesoz	internationale Beziehungen	de
dc.subject.thesoz	international relations	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Außenpolitik	de
dc.subject.thesoz	foreign policy	en
dc.subject.thesoz	regionale Integration	de
dc.subject.thesoz	regional integration	en
dc.subject.thesoz	politische Integration	de
dc.subject.thesoz	political integration	en
dc.subject.thesoz	USA	de
dc.subject.thesoz	United States of America	en
dc.subject.thesoz	EU	de
dc.subject.thesoz	EU	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Bundesrepublik Deutschland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Federal Republic of Germany	en
dc.subject.thesoz	China	de
dc.subject.thesoz	China	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Russland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Russia	en
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-99011-9
dc.rights.licence	Creative Commons - Namensnennung, Keine Bearbeitung 3.0	de
dc.rights.licence	Creative Commons - Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0	en
ssoar.contributor.institution	GIGA	de
internal.status	formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen	de
internal.identifier.thesoz	10034678
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dc.type.stock	monograph	de
dc.type.document	Arbeitspapier	de
dc.type.document	working paper	en
dc.source.pageinfo	12	de
internal.identifier.classoz	10505
internal.identifier.classoz	10507
internal.identifier.document	3
dc.contributor.corporateeditor	German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA) - Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien, Institut für Afrika-Studien
internal.identifier.corporateeditor	1213
internal.identifier.ddc	327
internal.identifier.ddc	320
dc.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.57671/gfaf-25012	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
internal.identifier.licence	27
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.identifier.review	2
internal.identifier.series	283
dc.subject.classhort	10500	de
ssoar.wgl.collection	true	de
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internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, Sicherheitspolitik
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy

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