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https://doi.org/10.17645/si.v11i1.6141

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Growing Pains: Can Family Policies Revert the Decline of Fertility in Spain?

[journal article]

Elizalde-San Miguel, Begoña
Díaz Gandasegui, Vicente
Sanz, María T.

Abstract

This article aims to analyze the capability of family policies to reverse the sharp decline in fertility that has been observed in Spain in recent decades. The analysis was carried out by applying two mathematical techniques: the genetic algorithm and the strategic scenarios. Firstly, a mathematical... view more

This article aims to analyze the capability of family policies to reverse the sharp decline in fertility that has been observed in Spain in recent decades. The analysis was carried out by applying two mathematical techniques: the genetic algorithm and the strategic scenarios. Firstly, a mathematical model was designed and validated adjusting the combined performance of fertility and family policies during the 2008–2019 period. Subsequently, this model was applied to the future (2020–2060) to extrapolate the evolution of fertility considering different models of family policies. The results demonstrate that a model of family policies that is coherent with other socially desirable objectives, such as gender and social equality, will be insufficient to reverse the current downward trend in fertility. Therefore, these outcomes point to the need to articulate and harmonize diverse public policies considering the principles of equality and well‐being to modify the recent decline in fertility. An increase in fertility must therefore be identified as a socially desirable goal and public policies must be adapted to this objective, in the understanding that fertility not only requires family policies but also their coherence with the employment and educational policies and work–life balance mechanisms offered by public institutions.... view less

Keywords
Spain; family policy; fertility; mathematical method; equal opportunity policy; social inequality

Classification
Family Policy, Youth Policy, Policy on the Elderly
Family Sociology, Sociology of Sexual Behavior

Free Keywords
genetic algorithms; strategic scenarios

Document language
English

Publication Year
2023

Page/Pages
p. 269-281

Journal
Social Inclusion, 11 (2023) 1

Issue topic
Family Supportive Networks and Practices in Vulnerable Contexts

ISSN
2183-2803

Status
Published Version; peer reviewed

Licence
Creative Commons - Attribution 4.0


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Home  |  Legal notices  |  Operational concept  |  Privacy policy
© 2007 - 2025 Social Science Open Access Repository (SSOAR).
Based on DSpace, Copyright (c) 2002-2022, DuraSpace. All rights reserved.