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NATO-Russia tensions: Putin orders invasion of Ukraine; with the European security order in shambles, further escalation must be prevented
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract After military maneuvers near the borders, Moscow started a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022. Before that, it has denied such an intent. It had been accusing Kiev of escalating the situation in the Donbas and the West of encouraging Ukraine to do so by taking sides in a biased mann... view more
After military maneuvers near the borders, Moscow started a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022. Before that, it has denied such an intent. It had been accusing Kiev of escalating the situation in the Donbas and the West of encouraging Ukraine to do so by taking sides in a biased manner. In mid-December 2021, it made clear in two draft treaties what it is after, namely preventing a further expansion of NATO to the east and obtaining binding assurances to this end. In doing so, it is invoking the NATO-Russia agreements of the 1990s. Moscow voiced fears that Ukraine’s accession to NATO in particular would endanger Russia’s security and the strategic balance with the US. The US and NATO had signaled a willingness to engage in dialogue on arms control issues, but they were not prepared to revise the principles of the European security order. Obviously, Moscow did not accept this and resorted to the use of force. It ignored the chance to embark on a new dialogue as an opportunity to de-escalate the situation and restore military predictability through arms control without abandoning principles. (author's abstract)... view less
Keywords
Russia; Ukraine; political conflict; international conflict; invasion; escalation; NATO; eastwards expansion; arms control; conflict management; security policy; international agreement
Classification
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
regionaler internationaler Konflikt; Militärische Bedrohungsanalyse; Konfliktkonstellation; Konfliktlösungskapazität von Institutionen/Organisationen; Rüstungskontrollverpflichtungen; Rüstungskontrollpolitik
Document language
English
Publication Year
2022
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
8 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 16/2022
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2022C16
ISSN
2747-5107
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications