Elecciones locales 2016: una aproximación comparativa

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to compare quantitatively the local processes carried out in June 2016, in particular the twelve gubernatorial elections. The fundamental source for this analysis is the sites of local electoral organism (OPLES's). The points that are addressed are: the comparison between the levels of participationabstention in the various entities; the comparison between the outcomes of the various electoral options in the elections, among the different entities and different moments in time (2010 and 2016); an analysis of the competitiveness registered in these elections as conventional indicators; and the comparison of the levels of volatility among the most recent and the previous election. It is concluded that the alternation is not necessarily a product of significant changes in the preferences of the electorate and that changes do not necessarily announce a PRI’s extinction as relevant party, but only exhibit changes in the margin in the distribution of preferences.