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Entre ciencia y ficción: notas sobre la demografía de la Shoá

Between science and fiction: notes on the demographics of the Shoá
[journal article]

DellaPergola, Sergio

Abstract

Los efectos cuantitativos de la Shoá (término generalmente traducido como Holocausto), objeto de numerosos análisis y especulaciones, han sido muy poco explorados con métodos demográficos rigurosos. La primera parte de este artículo pasa revista a los principales factores que deben ser examinados en... view more

Los efectos cuantitativos de la Shoá (término generalmente traducido como Holocausto), objeto de numerosos análisis y especulaciones, han sido muy poco explorados con métodos demográficos rigurosos. La primera parte de este artículo pasa revista a los principales factores que deben ser examinados en su totalidad para establecer dichos efectos en la población judía, a corto y largo plazo. La segunda sección ofrece proyecciones demográficas sobre la situación de la población judía en el mundo, en el caso hipotético de que el Holocausto no hubiese ocurrido. El análisis aquí presentado, obviamente especulativo, está basado en numerosos supuestos, más allá de los sugeridos por el autor. Los resultados de proyecciones alternativas revelan que, debido a las generaciones que no nacieron, la alta mortalidad infantil en época de guerra y el envejecimiento actual de la población judía, las pérdidas demográficas continúan extendiéndose mucho más allá de los seis millones de víctimas directas.... view less


Although the quantitative effects of the Shoá (a term usually translated as Holocaust), have been abundantly addressed and speculated over, few studies have been based on rigorous demographic methods to explore them. The first part of this article evaluates the main factors that should be thoroughly... view more

Although the quantitative effects of the Shoá (a term usually translated as Holocaust), have been abundantly addressed and speculated over, few studies have been based on rigorous demographic methods to explore them. The first part of this article evaluates the main factors that should be thoroughly examined to establish the short and long term impact on the Jewish population. The second section presents demographic global projections of what the Jewish population would be nowadays if the Holocaust had not occurred. The obviously speculative analysis is based on numerous assumptions, beyond those suggested by the author. The findings of these hypothetical projections reveal that, due to the number of unborn generations, a high rate of infant mortality during the war, and the current aging of the Jewish population, the demographic losses extend way beyond the officially acknowledged six million direct victims of the war.... view less

Classification
Population Studies, Sociology of Population
Social History, Historical Social Research

Free Keywords
Holocaust; genocide; demographic losses; Jewish population

Document language
Spanish

Publication Year
2016

Page/Pages
p. 211-234

Journal
Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales, 61 (2016) 228

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0185-1918(16)30046-0

ISSN
2448-492X

Status
Published Version; peer reviewed

Licence
Creative Commons - Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0


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© 2007 - 2025 Social Science Open Access Repository (SSOAR).
Based on DSpace, Copyright (c) 2002-2022, DuraSpace. All rights reserved.