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Demographische Ursachen langfristiger Wachstumszyklen? Fragen zur Konzeption ökonomischer Zyklustheorien
Demographic Causes for Long-Term Growth Cycles? Questions to Conceptualization of Economic Cylce Theories
[collection article]
This document is a part of the following document:
Historische Konjunkturforschung
Abstract The scepticism regarding long-term cycles/waves/oscülations and thrusts in economic development has not prevented a fresh discussion about Kondratiev in the Federal Republic of Germany. Demographic factors as possible causes have hitherto been given httle attention in theories of long-term growth cy... view more
The scepticism regarding long-term cycles/waves/oscülations and thrusts in economic development has not prevented a fresh discussion about Kondratiev in the Federal Republic of Germany. Demographic factors as possible causes have hitherto been given httle attention in theories of long-term growth cycies, although it should be obvious that, at least formaUy
observed, two generations correspond approximately to one Kondratiev cycle. Cyclical oscülations in population size, labour force and the consumer-labour ratio may be caused by unique occurrances and special influences. The concept of demographic structure cycles appears to be a suitable contributing factor in explaining long-term waves. If one operates with theories of long-term waves at all, one must surely do so with reference to demographic factors! Demographic structure cycies ought to be taken into consideration in future empirical research of long-term waves in the gross national product and in unemployment.... view less
Keywords
economic growth; economic development (on national level); economic trend; business cycle; theoretical economics; population development; declining birth rate; demand; consumption; demographical structure; unemployment; Federal Republic of Germany
Classification
National Economy
Social History, Historical Social Research
Free Keywords
demographischer Strukturwandel
Collection Title
Historische Konjunkturforschung
Editor
Schröder, Wilhelm H.; Spree, Reinhard
Document language
German
Publication Year
1980
Publisher
Klett-Cotta
City
Stuttgart
Page/Pages
p. 339-358
ISSN
0173-2153
ISBN
3-12-911110-7
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications