Scotland the Grey: A Linked Demographic-CGE Analysis of the Impact of Population Ageing and Decline

McGregor, Peter; Lisenkova, Katerina; Turner, Karen; Swales, Kim; Pappas, Nikos

[journal article]

dc.contributor.author	McGregor, Peter	de
dc.contributor.author	Lisenkova, Katerina	de
dc.contributor.author	Turner, Karen	de
dc.contributor.author	Swales, Kim	de
dc.contributor.author	Pappas, Nikos	de
dc.date.accessioned	2010-09-03T02:59:00Z	de
dc.date.accessioned	2012-08-29T23:21:39Z
dc.date.available	2012-08-29T23:21:39Z
dc.date.issued	2008	de
dc.identifier.uri	http://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/13348
dc.description.abstract	This paper links a multi-period economic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modelling framework with a demographic model to analyse the economic impact on Scotland of its projected ageing and declining population. The model quantifies the effect on aggregate economic variables, such as GDP, employment and competitiveness, and also on individual sectors. With the principal demographic projections, the fall in population, and particularly working-age population, has a depressing impact on economic activity. By changing the demographic parameters, we track the impact of increasing net migration, a policy actively being pursued by the Scottish Executive. However, the required size of the annual net-migration needed to neutralise the adverse natural demographic changes is far higher than the current trends.	en
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.ddc	Wirtschaft	de
dc.subject.ddc	Landscaping and area planning	en
dc.subject.ddc	Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie	de
dc.subject.ddc	Social sciences, sociology, anthropology	en
dc.subject.ddc	Economics	en
dc.subject.ddc	Städtebau, Raumplanung, Landschaftsgestaltung	de
dc.title	Scotland the Grey: A Linked Demographic-CGE Analysis of the Impact of Population Ageing and Decline	en
dc.description.review	begutachtet (peer reviewed)	de
dc.description.review	peer reviewed	en
dc.source.journal	Regional Studies	de
dc.source.volume	44	de
dc.publisher.country	GBR
dc.source.issue	10	de
dc.subject.classoz	Economics	en
dc.subject.classoz	Area Development Planning, Regional Research	en
dc.subject.classoz	Demography	en
dc.subject.classoz	Demographie, Bevölkerungswissenschaft	de
dc.subject.classoz	Wirtschaftswissenschaften	de
dc.subject.classoz	Raumplanung und Regionalforschung	de
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-133488	de
dc.date.modified	2011-03-14T11:16:00Z	de
dc.rights.licence	PEER Licence Agreement (applicable only to documents from PEER project)	de
dc.rights.licence	PEER Licence Agreement (applicable only to documents from PEER project)	en
ssoar.gesis.collection	SOLIS;ADIS	de
ssoar.contributor.institution	http://www.peerproject.eu/	de
internal.status	3	de
dc.type.stock	article	de
dc.type.document	journal article	en
dc.type.document	Zeitschriftenartikel	de
dc.rights.copyright	f	de
internal.identifier.classoz	10300
internal.identifier.classoz	10900
internal.identifier.classoz	20700
internal.identifier.document	32
internal.identifier.ddc	710
internal.identifier.ddc	300
internal.identifier.ddc	330
dc.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.1080/00343400701654228	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Postprint	en
dc.description.pubstatus	Postprint	de
internal.identifier.licence	7
internal.identifier.pubstatus	2
internal.identifier.review	1
internal.check.abstractlanguageharmonizer	CERTAIN
internal.check.languageharmonizer	CERTAIN_RETAINED

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Raumplanung und Regionalforschung
Area Development Planning, Regional Research
Demographie, Bevölkerungswissenschaft (allgemein)
Demography (general)
Wirtschaftswissenschaften (allgemein)
Economics (general)

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