Economic Crime Analysis in the Regions of the Czech Republic in Relation to Macroeconomic Data

Abstract

Criminal activity is a serious but unfortunately inevitable phenomenon in society, which needs to be regulated or minimised. This paper analyses crime from 2008 to 2022, with the main objective of determining the relationship between solved crimes and the total number of crimes, as well as the relation between the severity of criminal offenses and unemployment and average wages. Furthermore, it aims to predict crime rates for the next six years. Additionally, based on multiple linear regression, crime in the Czech Republic is compared with its neighbouring countries. It has been found that there is a positive linear relationship between the number of crimes and the number of solved crimes. Similarly, there is a statistically significant negative relationship between the number of crimes and average wages. Regarding the analysis in relation to neighbouring countries of the Czech Republic, it can be observed that the development of criminality in the Czech Republic follows a similar trend to that of the Slovak Republic and Germany.