More documents from Gherghina, Sergiu; Chiru, Mihail
More documents from European Review of Artistic Studies

Export to your Reference Manger

Please Copy & Paste



Bookmark and Share

Voting after watching: the strategic role of election polls

[journal article]

Gherghina, Sergiu; Chiru, Mihail

fulltextDownloadDownload full text

(149 KByte)

Citation Suggestion

Please use the following Persistent Identifier (PID) to cite this document:

Further Details
Abstract The November 2009 Romanian presidential elections illustrate the process through which media exposure to exit polls during the election day allows strategic voting in the least expected situations (i.e. in the first round of a two-ballot setting). Organized in a two-round system in which the first two competitors qualify for the second round, these elections display one unsolved dilemma. The difference registered in elections between the two challengers is twice as large as the average support in the pre-election polls (a comparable difference was never registered in post-communist Romania). Our quantitative analysis uses election results from the past two decades and aggregated poll data from 2009 and reveals that a large share of the Romanian electorate avoids wasting votes and casts them for candidates with real winning chances. This article argues that polls presented to the voters, by the media during the elections, made the difference. They were used as electoral strategies to trigger strategic voting and thus promote specific candidates. (author's abstract)
Keywords Romania; presidential election; reporting; election; prognosis; self-fulfilling prophecy; voting behavior; election research; media; influence; behavior; election result; electoral system
Classification Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture; Public Opinion Research
Method quantitative empirical
Document language English
Publication Year 2012
Page/Pages p. 210-221
Journal European Review of Artistic Studies, 20 (2012) 2
ISSN 1062-7987
Status Published Version; peer reviewed
Licence Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications
This publication is with permission of the rights owner freely accessible due to an Alliance licence and a national licence (funded by the DFG, German Research Foundation) respectively.