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Continuous Time Modeling with Criminological Panel Data: An Application to the Longitudinal Association between Victimization and Offending
[journal article]
Abstract Background: Criminological research shows that there is nearly always a strong and positive association between delinquency and being a victim of crime. This so-called victim-offender overlap is one of the most consistent and best documented findings in criminology. However, examinations using long... view more
Background: Criminological research shows that there is nearly always a strong and positive association between delinquency and being a victim of crime. This so-called victim-offender overlap is one of the most consistent and best documented findings in criminology. However, examinations using longitudinal panel data are rather scarce. Previous analyses based on latent growth and cross-lagged panel models showed that the developments of victimization and offending are parallel processes that expose similar stability and mutual influence over the period of adolescence and early adulthood (Erdmann & Reinecke, 2018). Objectives: The present study examines the relationship between victimization and offending over the phase of adolescence and emerging adulthood. The focus is on the application of continuous time dynamic modeling and on comparing results using data from the criminological panel study Crime in the Modern City. For the present analyses, seven consecutive panel waves are used that contain information about German adolescents from the age of 14 to 20 years. Approach: The relationship between victimization and offending is analyzed by continuous time structural equation modeling using the R package ctsem (Driver & Voelkle, 2018, 2021). In addition to the unconditional models, relevant predictors (gender, routine activities) are considered in the conditional models. Methododological and substantive aspects of continuous time dynamic modeling are highlighted in the discussion of the results.... view less
Keywords
delinquency; victimization; offense; adolescent; adolescence; young adult; data capture; panel; longitudinal study; model
Classification
Methods and Techniques of Data Collection and Data Analysis, Statistical Methods, Computer Methods
Free Keywords
continuous time modeling; panel analysis; R, ctsem; longitudinal data
Document language
English
Publication Year
2024
Page/Pages
p. 109-138
Journal
Methods, data, analyses : a journal for quantitative methods and survey methodology (mda), 18 (2024) 1
ISSN
2190-4936
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed