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Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
[journal article]
Abstract In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave. We use for our analysis the basic ideas of long cycles' theory and related theories (theories of the leading sector, ... view more
In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave. We use for our analysis the basic ideas of long cycles' theory and related theories (theories of the leading sector, technological styles etc.) as well as the ideas of our own theory of production principles and production revolutions. The latest of production revolution is the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that in the 2030s and 2040s the sixth K-wave will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough inmedical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single system of MANBRIC-technologies (medico-additive-nano-bio-roboto-info-cognitive technologies). The article also presents a forecast of the process of global ageing and argues why the technological breakthrough will occur in health care sector and connected spheres.... view less
Keywords
prognosis; technical development; self-regulation; nanotechnology; cybernetics; production theory; medical technology; biotechnology; aging
Classification
Natural Science, Engineering, Medicine
Technology Assessment
Free Keywords
Kondratieff waves;Cybernetic Revolution;Self-regulating systems
Document language
English
Publication Year
2017
Page/Pages
p. 52-68
Journal
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115 (2017)
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.017
ISSN
0040-1625
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications