dc.contributor.author | Madureira, Nuno Luis | de |
dc.date.accessioned | 2014-11-11T12:50:06Z | |
dc.date.available | 2016-02-02T15:51:10Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2014 | de |
dc.identifier.issn | 0172-6404 | de |
dc.identifier.uri | http://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/40490 | |
dc.description.abstract | A global economic crisis is the most difficult kind of event to predict. This article asks a straightforward question: did anyone come close
to anticipating the oil crisis of 1973/74, which represented a new type of historical sequence? Was the likelihood of an oil shock self-evident at the time? To answer this, I examine the degree of awareness in Europe and the United States of the three possible triggering factors: Egypt’s disposition to start a war and enlist the support of oil-producers; the Arab interest in oil conservation and long-term income maximization; and the imbalance in the oil market and the delayed adjustment of oil prices. For each of these topics, I set out both what was expected and what was actually in the offing; the information available to Western analysts and that unknown; the communication noises and the flagrant bias. The conclusion pays tribute to three men – James Akins, Pierre Wack, and Ted Newland – who had guessed what was coming ahead, and explains why their predictions almost succeeded, while others failed. | en |
dc.language | en | de |
dc.subject.ddc | Internationale Beziehungen | de |
dc.subject.ddc | Politikwissenschaft | de |
dc.subject.ddc | Geschichte | de |
dc.subject.ddc | History | en |
dc.subject.ddc | International relations | en |
dc.subject.ddc | Political science | en |
dc.subject.other | information asymmetry | de |
dc.title | Waiting for the energy crisis: Europe and the United
States on the eve of the first oil shock | de |
dc.title.alternative | Warten auf die Energiekrise: Europa und die USA am Vorabend des ersten Ölschocks | de |
dc.description.review | begutachtet (peer reviewed) | de |
dc.description.review | peer reviewed | en |
dc.source.journal | Historical Social Research | |
dc.source.volume | 39 | de |
dc.publisher.country | DEU | |
dc.source.issue | 4 | de |
dc.subject.classoz | Special areas of Departmental Policy | en |
dc.subject.classoz | spezielle Ressortpolitik | de |
dc.subject.classoz | allgemeine Geschichte | de |
dc.subject.classoz | International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy | en |
dc.subject.classoz | General History | en |
dc.subject.classoz | internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | price | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Erdöl | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | natural resources | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | crude oil | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Energieversorgung | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Krise | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Interessenpolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | pressure-group politics | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Europe | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Energiepolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | natürliche Ressourcen | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | energy policy | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | energy supply | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Arab countries | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Markt | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Preis | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Energieerzeugung | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | USA | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | energy production | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Europa | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | crisis | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | market | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | arabische Länder | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | United States of America | en |
dc.identifier.urn | urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-404908 | |
dc.rights.licence | Creative Commons - Attribution 4.0 | en |
dc.rights.licence | Creative Commons - Namensnennung 4.0 | de |
ssoar.contributor.institution | GESIS | de |
internal.status | formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen | de |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10042879 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10042064 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10034835 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10056693 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10047745 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10042069 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10034608 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10041244 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10042079 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10042059 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10041846 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10034440 | |
dc.type.stock | article | de |
dc.type.document | journal article | en |
dc.type.document | Zeitschriftenartikel | de |
dc.source.pageinfo | 70-93 | de |
internal.identifier.classoz | 10508 | |
internal.identifier.classoz | 30301 | |
internal.identifier.classoz | 10505 | |
internal.identifier.journal | 152 | |
internal.identifier.document | 32 | |
internal.identifier.ddc | 327 | |
internal.identifier.ddc | 320 | |
internal.identifier.ddc | 900 | |
dc.source.issuetopic | The energy crises of the 1970s | de |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.12759/hsr.39.2014.4.70-93 | de |
dc.description.pubstatus | Published Version | en |
dc.description.pubstatus | Veröffentlichungsversion | de |
internal.identifier.licence | 16 | |
internal.identifier.pubstatus | 1 | |
internal.identifier.review | 1 | |
dc.subject.classhort | 30300 | de |
dc.subject.classhort | 10500 | de |
dc.subject.classhort | 29900 | de |
internal.embargo.terms | 2016-01-10 | de |
internal.pdf.version | 1.3 | |
internal.pdf.valid | true | |
internal.pdf.wellformed | true | |
internal.check.abstractlanguageharmonizer | CERTAIN | |
internal.check.languageharmonizer | CERTAIN_RETAINED | |