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Sources of government approval during the COVID-19 pandemic: threat or electoral predispositions?
[journal article]
Abstract Rally-round-the-flag events are short-term boosts of government approval during crises, and the COVID-19 pandemic produced such an effect in many countries. But why did some people join the rally while others didn’t? Using public opinion data from Costa Rica, this paper tests two hypotheses: first, ... view more
Rally-round-the-flag events are short-term boosts of government approval during crises, and the COVID-19 pandemic produced such an effect in many countries. But why did some people join the rally while others didn’t? Using public opinion data from Costa Rica, this paper tests two hypotheses: first, that threat increases government approval at the outbreak of the pandemic; second, that electoral predispositions shape approval. Results indicate that COVID-19 contagions, as a measure of the threat, are not associated with approval, while past voting patterns are. Positive assessments of the economy and the relief measures also predict higher support for the government. In brief, Costa Rica's rally-round-the-flag event did not overcome the partisan divisions or the ordinary drivers of approval.... view less
Keywords
Costa Rica; government policy; party politics; crisis; political impact; voting behavior; public opinion; Latin America
Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Free Keywords
COVID-19; Machtwechsel; Regierungswechsel
Document language
English
Publication Year
2021
Page/Pages
p. 400-418
Journal
Journal of Politics in Latin America, 13 (2021) 3
ISSN
1868-4890
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed