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Ten Things to Watch in Africa in 2024
[working paper]
Corporate Editor
German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA) - Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien, Institut für Afrika-Studien
Abstract Democracy will remain under pressure in Africa, with key elections coming up in 2024. While conflict risks could intensify, the decline of Western influence will continue. Structural socio-economic challenges are likely to persist despite economic growth. The Africa Cup of Nations will be a highligh... view more
Democracy will remain under pressure in Africa, with key elections coming up in 2024. While conflict risks could intensify, the decline of Western influence will continue. Structural socio-economic challenges are likely to persist despite economic growth. The Africa Cup of Nations will be a highlight at the beginning of the year. We present here a list of "Ten Things to Watch in Africa" in 2024. Politics: With the recent wave of military coups, democracy has come under pressure. Further coups remain a risk, especially in countries with politicised militaries and political crises. Important general elections will, inter alia, be held in Ghana and South Africa where heavy losses for the ruling parties are expected. Peace and security: Coups are often connected to armed conflicts. The spillover of jihadism and related ethno-regional tensions in West Africa will be a major security challenge. In the Horn of Africa, the ceasefire in Ethiopia's Tigray Region seems to be holding but the country remains instable. Internationally: Similar to Russia's war on Ukraine, the Israel-Hamas conflict also divides African governments. The relative decline of Western influence is likely to continue, not least regarding military presence. Growing anti-immigration sentiment in Europe has made migration a salient issue in African-European relations. Socio-economic development: African economies are set to experience continued growth that will, however, vary across countries, while debt remains a formidable challenge. Green deals are likely to remain sluggish.... view less
Keywords
Africa South of the Sahara; political development; democracy; domestic security; international relations; international conflict; socioeconomic development; economic development (on national level); presidential election; local election; parliamentary election; party in power; opposition; conflict; military; war; Europe; foreign policy; migration; indebtedness; information technology; artificial intelligence; opinion formation; manipulation; sports; soccer
Classification
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
Politische Partei; Militärische Revolte/Aufstand; Bewaffneter Konflikt; Heiliger Krieg; Politischer Islam; Ethischer Konflikt; Wirkung/Auswirkung; Westliche Welt; Politische Einflussnahme; Internationale Migration; Migrationspolitik; Afrikapolitik; Wirtschaftswachstum
Document language
English
Publication Year
2024
City
Hamburg
Page/Pages
13 p.
Series
GIGA Focus Afrika, 1
DOI
https://doi.org/10.57671/gfaf-24012
Status
Published Version; reviewed