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Careless whisper: Political elite discourses activate national identities for far-right voting preferences
[journal article]
Abstract While exclusionary national identities are widespread among Europeans, relatively few people vote for the far right in most countries. Thus, an exclusionary identity in many cases does not lead to voting for the most nativist types of parties. We explain this empirical puzzle by showing that these i... view more
While exclusionary national identities are widespread among Europeans, relatively few people vote for the far right in most countries. Thus, an exclusionary identity in many cases does not lead to voting for the most nativist types of parties. We explain this empirical puzzle by showing that these identities need to be activated to become behaviourally relevant. To this end, we analyse longitudinal comparative data of over 135,000 individuals across more than 26 years and 26 countries combining different survey programmes and manifesto data. We use latent class analysis to show that over half of respondents hold exclusionary conceptions of nationhood. Moreover, this type of national identity predicts voting far right. Using multi-level modelling and within-country estimators, we further demonstrate that this relationship is significantly stronger when a country's political elites across all parties become more exclusionary. Taking the activation hypothesis to the test in a European context, we conclude that the effect of national identity is conditional on its prior activation.... view less
Obwohl ausgrenzende nationale Identitäten in Europa weit verbreitet sind, wählen in den meisten Ländern relativ wenige Menschen die extreme Rechte. Daher führt eine ausgrenzende Identität in vielen Fällen nicht dazu, dass solche Parteien gewählt werden. Die Autor*innen zeigen, dass diese nationalen ... view more
Obwohl ausgrenzende nationale Identitäten in Europa weit verbreitet sind, wählen in den meisten Ländern relativ wenige Menschen die extreme Rechte. Daher führt eine ausgrenzende Identität in vielen Fällen nicht dazu, dass solche Parteien gewählt werden. Die Autor*innen zeigen, dass diese nationalen Identitäten aktiviert werden müssen, um verhaltensrelevant zu werden.... view less
Keywords
political elite; discourse; political right; national identity; voting behavior; Europe
Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Free Keywords
far right; longitudinal analysis; ONBound project, which combines harmonised data from the International Social Survey Programme (ISSP, National identity I - ISSP 1995, ZA2880; National identity II - ISSP 2003, ZA3910; National identity III - ISSP 2013, ZA5950) and the European Values Study (Integrated dataset - EVS 2017, ZA7500; EVS 1981-2008, ZA4804)
Document language
English
Publication Year
2024
Page/Pages
p. 90-109
Journal
Nations and Nationalism, 30 (2024) 1
ISSN
1469-8129
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed