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The transfers game: A comparative analysis of the mechanical effect of lower preference votes in STV systems
[Zeitschriftenartikel]
Abstract Debates about electoral reform revolve around giving voters more choice. Consequently, reformers often favor adopting the single transferable vote, a candidate-based system that allows voters to rank order candidates. Nonetheless, studies about whether lower preferences (transfers) influence STV ele... mehr
Debates about electoral reform revolve around giving voters more choice. Consequently, reformers often favor adopting the single transferable vote, a candidate-based system that allows voters to rank order candidates. Nonetheless, studies about whether lower preferences (transfers) influence STV election outcomes remain scant. To address this gap, our comparative multivariate approach tests transfers' impact on election results in Ireland, Malta, Northern Ireland, and Scotland. We find that, on average, transfers are pivotal in the election of about one in 10 elected candidates. Hence, their impact is the exception rather than the norm. We show that when lower preferences are decisive at the candidate level, they benefit smaller and moderate parties and non-incumbents and, in Malta and Ireland, female candidates. Our results have implications for understanding the extent to which multiple preferences influence election outcomes and for debates on electoral reform.... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
Wahlsystem; Abstimmung; Präferenz; Personalisierung; Kandidatenaufstellung; Wahlergebnis
Klassifikation
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Freie Schlagwörter
Preferential voting; STV; electoral reform; vote transfers
Sprache Dokument
Englisch
Publikationsjahr
2022
Seitenangabe
S. 118-135
Zeitschriftentitel
International Political Science Review, 43 (2022) 1
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/0192512120907925
ISSN
1460-373X
Status
Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)
Lizenz
Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung