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Problematic prospects for US-Turkish ties in the Biden era: human rights, sanctions likely among early tests
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract Minimal discussion of foreign policy during the US presidential campaign has left President-elect Joe Biden pinned to very few specific foreign policy positions and given him great flexibility in carrying out his program. He would probably prefer to avoid confrontation with Turkey; in fact, he will ... view more
Minimal discussion of foreign policy during the US presidential campaign has left President-elect Joe Biden pinned to very few specific foreign policy positions and given him great flexibility in carrying out his program. He would probably prefer to avoid confrontation with Turkey; in fact, he will likely explore areas of potential US‑Turkish cooperation, especially against Russia. However, Biden's core positions on human rights and rule of law, his long-time focus on Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean issues, and his seeming inclination to continue to fight ISIS in cooperation with the Syrian-Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) militia - deemed "terrorists" by Ankara - probably augur deepening difficulties in US-Turkish ties. Down the line, a make-or-break decision on the future of US-Turkish ties will likely hinge on the Biden Administration’s assessment of Turkish-Russian relations. Europe may have an important say on Biden's Turkish policy; a senior Biden adviser has said the new president will coordinate his approach to Turkey with the European Union. (author's abstract)... view less
Keywords
United States of America; Turkey; bilateral relations; international relations; foreign policy; diplomacy; international security; national security; policy of rapprochement; EU; Russia; Mediterranean region; Syria; Cyprus; conflict potential
Classification
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Free Keywords
Regionale internationale Prozesse und Tendenzen; Konfliktlösungspotential internationaler Akteure; Biden, Joseph R.; Bedrohungsvorstellungen (Sicherheitspolitik); Kurdenproblem; Gülen, Fethullah; Harakat al-Muqawama al-Islamiya
Document language
English
Publication Year
2020
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
8 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 60/2020
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2020C60
ISSN
1861-1761
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications