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Strategic foresight for multilateral policy: challenges, opportunities and success factor
Strategische Vorausschau für multilaterale Politik: Herausforderungen, Chancen und Erfolgsfaktoren
[Stellungnahme]
Körperschaftlicher Herausgeber
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract Increasingly, states are openly and assertively pursuing their national interests in international politics. The US, for instance, is revoking important international agreements on disarmament, trade and climate change. Other countries with a claim to global power, such as China and Russia, are pur... mehr
Increasingly, states are openly and assertively pursuing their national interests in international politics. The US, for instance, is revoking important international agreements on disarmament, trade and climate change. Other countries with a claim to global power, such as China and Russia, are pursuing an aggressive territorial policy. The withdrawal of the UK from the European Union (EU) would mean the loss of an important partner, undermining its ability to implement a strategic and self-confident course of action at the international level. This is all the more worrying since any erosion of the rules-based international order requires a forward-looking and effective policy for shaping the future. Every time a binding international agreement is called into question or revoked, the threshold for uncoordinated unilateral action is lowered. Unexpected crises and conflicts might therefore occur more frequently in the future. Consequently, governments wanting to promote multilateralism should invest in joint strategic foresight. A multiperspective approach appears to be promising for identifying situations in which coordinated action with like-minded partners offers opportunities to proactively shape international affairs. (author's abstract)... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
internationale Politik; internationale Beziehungen; Multilateralität; strategische Planung; Konfliktregelung; Krisenmanagement
Klassifikation
internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik
Freie Schlagwörter
Internationale Ordnung; Internationale Ordnungspolitik; Multilateralismus; Strategische Partnerschaft; Capacity Building; Theorie der internationalen Akteure (Internationale Beziehungen); Modell (theoretisch); Status und Rolle im internationalen System
Sprache Dokument
Englisch
Publikationsjahr
2019
Erscheinungsort
Berlin
Seitenangabe
4 S.
Schriftenreihe
SWP Comment, 41/2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2019C41
ISSN
1861-1761
Status
Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet
Lizenz
Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung