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Libya's conflicts enter a dangerous new phase
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract Recent advances by Khalifa Haftar's "Libyan Arab Armed Forces" in southern Libya are changing power relations in Libya in ways that undermine the UN’s ongoing attempts at brokering a political solution. Haftar's increasing influence implies he will be less open to concessions, while key forces in we... view more
Recent advances by Khalifa Haftar's "Libyan Arab Armed Forces" in southern Libya are changing power relations in Libya in ways that undermine the UN’s ongoing attempts at brokering a political solution. Haftar's increasing influence implies he will be less open to concessions, while key forces in western Libya now perceive him as an existential threat. The Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA), which has, to date, remained ambivalent towards Haftar despite his open opposition towards it, will come under increasing pressure from both adversaries and allies of Haftar to clarify its stance. The new configuration raises the risk of escalation on multiple fronts. Only the emergence of a stable balance of power can create the conditions for a political settlement. (Autorenreferat)... view less
Keywords
escalation; resistance; risk; civil war; conflict; military; political stability; crisis; political system; political actor; military intervention; Libya
Classification
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
Haftar, K.; Fezzan; Tripolitanien; Cyrenaika
Document language
English
Publication Year
2019
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
4 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 8/2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2019C08
ISSN
1861-1761
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications