Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton; Korotayev, Andrey

[journal article]

dc.contributor.author	Grinin, Leonid	de
dc.contributor.author	Grinin, Anton	de
dc.contributor.author	Korotayev, Andrey	de
dc.date.accessioned	2018-06-11T14:36:26Z
dc.date.available	2018-06-11T14:36:25Z
dc.date.available	2018-06-11T14:36:26Z
dc.date.issued	2017	de
dc.identifier.issn	0040-1625	de
dc.identifier.uri	https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/57566
dc.description.abstract	In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave. We use for our analysis the basic ideas of long cycles' theory and related theories (theories of the leading sector, technological styles etc.) as well as the ideas of our own theory of production principles and production revolutions. The latest of production revolution is the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that in the 2030s and 2040s the sixth K-wave will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough inmedical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single system of MANBRIC-technologies (medico-additive-nano-bio-roboto-info-cognitive technologies). The article also presents a forecast of the process of global ageing and argues why the technological breakthrough will occur in health care sector and connected spheres.	en
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.ddc	Technik, Technologie	de
dc.subject.ddc	Technology (Applied sciences)	en
dc.subject.other	Kondratieff waves;Cybernetic Revolution;Self-regulating systems	de
dc.title	Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing	de
dc.description.review	begutachtet	de
dc.description.review	reviewed	en
dc.source.journal	Technological Forecasting and Social Change
dc.source.volume	115	de
dc.publisher.country	NLD
dc.subject.classoz	Naturwissenschaften, Technik, Medizin	de
dc.subject.classoz	Natural Science, Engineering, Medicine	en
dc.subject.classoz	Technikfolgenabschätzung	de
dc.subject.classoz	Technology Assessment	en
dc.subject.thesoz	prognosis	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Medizintechnik	de
dc.subject.thesoz	technical development	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Nanotechnologie	de
dc.subject.thesoz	self-regulation	en
dc.subject.thesoz	nanotechnology	en
dc.subject.thesoz	technische Entwicklung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Selbststeuerung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Prognose	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Biotechnik	de
dc.subject.thesoz	cybernetics	en
dc.subject.thesoz	production theory	en
dc.subject.thesoz	medical technology	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Altern	de
dc.subject.thesoz	biotechnology	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Produktionstheorie	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Kybernetik	de
dc.subject.thesoz	aging	en
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-57566-7
dc.rights.licence	Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung	de
dc.rights.licence	Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications	en
internal.status	noch nicht fertig erschlossen	de
internal.identifier.thesoz	10050376
internal.identifier.thesoz	10036432
internal.identifier.thesoz	10057747
internal.identifier.thesoz	10060075
internal.identifier.thesoz	10039024
internal.identifier.thesoz	10039595
internal.identifier.thesoz	10042239
internal.identifier.thesoz	10060013
internal.identifier.thesoz	10035269
dc.type.stock	article	de
dc.type.document	Zeitschriftenartikel	de
dc.type.document	journal article	en
dc.source.pageinfo	52-68	de
internal.identifier.classoz	50000
internal.identifier.classoz	20800
internal.identifier.journal	1343
internal.identifier.document	32
internal.identifier.ddc	600
dc.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.017	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
internal.identifier.licence	3
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.identifier.review	2
dc.subject.classhort	10300	de
internal.embargo.terms	2017-05-03
internal.pdf.version	1.7
internal.pdf.valid	true
internal.pdf.wellformed	true
internal.check.abstractlanguageharmonizer	CERTAIN
internal.check.languageharmonizer	CERTAIN_RETAINED

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Technikfolgenabschätzung
Technology Assessment
Naturwissenschaften, Technik, Medizin (allgemein)
Science (general)

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