dc.contributor.editor | Fischer, Sabine | de |
dc.contributor.editor | Klein, Margarete | de |
dc.date.accessioned | 2016-11-11T15:30:34Z | |
dc.date.available | 2016-11-11T15:30:34Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2016 | de |
dc.identifier.issn | 1863-1053 | de |
dc.identifier.uri | http://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/48893 | |
dc.description.abstract | Russia's foreign policy has taken numerous unexpected turns in recent years, from annexation of Crimea to military intervention in Syria. The element of surprise for Germany and the EU arises out of a mix of lack of political transparency in Russia, Western misperceptions and the Kremlin’s deliberate instrumentalisation of unpredictability. In order to expand analytical thinking about Russian foreign policy and improve preparedness for future events, this scenario study based on scientific research describes eleven possible situations that could potentially unfold in the coming years. Four fields of Russian policy are considered: EU member states; other regions; internet, energy and security; and Eurasia. Without seeking to be exhaustive, the contributions reflect "conceivable surprises" that could present great challenges and even dangers for Germany and Europe, but could also offer possibilities for closer cooperation. Applying their academic expertise, the authors reveal existing trends and extrapolate them into the future. The described situations are not simply made up, of course, but are based on existing structures and developments. Rather than seeking to predict the future, or specifics event, the study surveys "possible futures". (author's abstract) | en |
dc.language | en | de |
dc.subject.ddc | Internationale Beziehungen | de |
dc.subject.ddc | International relations | en |
dc.title | Conceivable surprises: eleven possible turns in Russia's foreign policy | de |
dc.title.alternative | Denkbare Überraschungen: elf Entwicklungen, die Russlands Außenpolitik nehmen könnte | de |
dc.description.review | begutachtet | de |
dc.description.review | reviewed | en |
dc.source.volume | 10/2016 | de |
dc.publisher.country | DEU | |
dc.publisher.city | Berlin | de |
dc.source.series | SWP Research Paper | |
dc.subject.classoz | internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik | de |
dc.subject.classoz | International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Russland | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Russia | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Außenpolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | foreign policy | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Szenario | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | scenario | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | politische Entwicklung | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | political development | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | internationale Beziehungen | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | international relations | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | internationale Politik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | international politics | en |
dc.identifier.urn | urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-48893-8 | |
dc.rights.licence | Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung | de |
dc.rights.licence | Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications | en |
ssoar.contributor.institution | SWP | de |
internal.status | formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen | de |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10057012 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10034694 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10059882 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10040704 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10037331 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10037372 | |
dc.type.stock | collection | de |
dc.type.document | Sammelwerk | de |
dc.type.document | collection | en |
dc.source.pageinfo | 78 | de |
internal.identifier.classoz | 10505 | |
internal.identifier.document | 24 | |
dc.contributor.corporateeditor | Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit | |
internal.identifier.corporateeditor | 292 | |
internal.identifier.ddc | 327 | |
dc.description.pubstatus | Veröffentlichungsversion | de |
dc.description.pubstatus | Published Version | en |
internal.identifier.licence | 3 | |
internal.identifier.pubstatus | 1 | |
internal.identifier.review | 2 | |
internal.identifier.series | 804 | |
dc.subject.classhort | 10500 | de |
internal.pdf.valid | false | |
internal.pdf.wellformed | false | |
internal.pdf.ocr | null Page_4 Page_12 Page_22 Page_24 Page_40 Page_42 Page_58 Page_76 | |
internal.check.abstractlanguageharmonizer | CERTAIN | |
internal.check.languageharmonizer | CERTAIN_RETAINED | |