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The Ba'athist blackout? Selective goods provision and political violence in the Syrian civil war
[Zeitschriftenartikel]
Abstract Many authoritarian regimes selectively provide critical segments of the population with privileged access to goods and
services, expecting political support in return. This article is interested in the effects of this regime strategy: Is violent
opposition less likely to occur in subnational regio... mehr
Many authoritarian regimes selectively provide critical segments of the population with privileged access to goods and
services, expecting political support in return. This article is interested in the effects of this regime strategy: Is violent
opposition less likely to occur in subnational regions bound to the ruling elite through such patron–client networks?
For its empirical analysis, the article makes use of crowdsourcing data on the number and geospatial distribution of
fatalities in the Syrian civil war from March 2011 to November 2012. In terms of selective goods provision, the focus
is on the electricity sector. Satellite images of the earth at night are used to proxy spatial variations in the public distribution
of electricity in times of power shortages. These data are complemented with information from the last
Syrian population census of 2004. Estimations from fixed effect logit models lend support to the hypothesis that
the risk of violence has been lower in subdistricts that have been favored by the ruling regime in terms of preferential
access to material goods. This hypothesis is further corroborated with qualitative evidence from Syrian localities.... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
Elite; Opposition; Volkszählung; politische Stabilität; Privileg; öffentliches Gut; politisches Regime; Bürgerkrieg; Elektrizitätswirtschaft; Umverteilung; politische Strategie; Syrien; politische Unterstützung; Gewaltbereitschaft
Klassifikation
Staat, staatliche Organisationsformen
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Methode
empirisch
Freie Schlagwörter
crowdsourcing; nightlights
Sprache Dokument
Englisch
Publikationsjahr
2015
Seitenangabe
91–104 S.
Zeitschriftentitel
Journal of Peace Research, 52 (2015) 1
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343314559437
ISSN
1460-3578
Status
Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)
Lizenz
Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung
Dieser Beitrag ist mit Zustimmung des Rechteinhabers aufgrund einer (DFG-geförderten) Allianz- bzw. Nationallizenz frei zugänglich.