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More than wishful thinking: causes and consequences of voters’ electoral expectations about parties and coalitions
[Arbeitspapier]
Abstract "Accurate expectations about the outcome of elections play a central role in psychological
and economic theories of voting. In the paper, three questions about voters' expectations are
investigated. First, we identify and test several factors that influence the overall accuracy or
quality of voters'... mehr
"Accurate expectations about the outcome of elections play a central role in psychological
and economic theories of voting. In the paper, three questions about voters' expectations are
investigated. First, we identify and test several factors that influence the overall accuracy or
quality of voters' expectations. Second, the phenomenon of 'wishful thinking' is tested and
confirmed for expectations about the electoral performance of individual parties and coalitions.
Finally, two mechanisms how expectations might influence voting behavior are identified and
tested. Based on surveys from Austria and Germany, the results suggest that voters not only rely
on expectations to avoid casting 'wasted' votes for parties without electoral chances, but that
they are able to engage in fairly sophisticated strategic coalition voting." (author's abstract)... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
Bundesrepublik Deutschland; Erwartung; Österreich; Wahlverhalten; Wähler; Partei; Wahlergebnis; Präferenz; Bildungsniveau; Koalition; Wissen
Klassifikation
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Methode
empirisch
Sprache Dokument
Englisch
Publikationsjahr
2009
Erscheinungsort
Mannheim
Seitenangabe
36 S.
Lizenz
Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung
DatenlieferantDieser Metadatensatz wurde vom Sondersammelgebiet Sozialwissenschaften (USB Köln) erstellt.