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Israel vis-à-vis Iran in Syria: the perils of active containment ; Iran's growing influence in the evolving order in Syria is driving Israel to change its mindset and strategies
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract The perceived shift from chaos to an evolving order in Syria presents a challenge to Israel’s policy of limited intervention. Iran’s growing influence in Syria and its efforts to improve Hezbollah’s strategic capacities presents Israeli decision-makers with a sense of urgency to act now while the fu... view more
The perceived shift from chaos to an evolving order in Syria presents a challenge to Israel’s policy of limited intervention. Iran’s growing influence in Syria and its efforts to improve Hezbollah’s strategic capacities presents Israeli decision-makers with a sense of urgency to act now while the future settlement in Syria is still being shaped in order to avoid a fait accompli of an Iranian stronghold on Israel’s northern border. This notion is further enhanced by a perceived lack of a serious commitment from the main extra-regional powerbroker, Russia, as well as the US to Israel’s national security needs. During the last few months, the first signs of a change became apparent in Israel’s strategic approach as well as a new willingness to take active measures to con-tain Iran’s strategic efforts in Syria. The combination of a new proactive Israeli policy and the lack of a security regime to regulate the situation increases the likelihood of an unintended escalation between the parties. Germany should use its relations and leverage vis-à-vis the two parties to promote a new security regime between Israel and Iran and help prevent a destructive escalation. (Autorenreferat)... view less
Keywords
Israel; Syria; Iran; containment policy; security policy; defense policy; national security; non-intervention; military intervention; settlement policy; military conflict; border region; pressure-group politics; political strategy; escalation
Classification
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
Regionale Außenpolitik einzelner Staaten; Regionale Sicherheitspolitik von Staaten; Verteidigungs- und sicherheitsbezogene Beziehungen; Sicherheitspolitische Interessen; Bürgerkrieg; Implikation; Bedrohungsvorstellungen (Sicherheitspolitik); Eskalation internationaler Konflikte; Risikoabschätzung; Option; Hisbollah
Document language
English
Publication Year
2017
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
8 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 41/2017
ISSN
1861-1761
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications