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The balance model of regional development management in certain territorial conditions: development and application
Опыт разработки и применения балансовой модели управления региональным развитием в специфических территориальных условиях
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Abstract In this article the authors detail the methodology of regional development forecasting with the balance method. They provide with an overview and assessment of the existing models and systems, and their use for the purposes of public administration at the regional level. The article underlines the n... view more
In this article the authors detail the methodology of regional development forecasting with the balance method. They provide with an overview and assessment of the existing models and systems, and their use for the purposes of public administration at the regional level. The article underlines the need to develop a balance approach models for specific territorial conditions. In particular, the authors identify the possibilities of studying the connections between the proportions of material and cash flows within the regional system, and reconciling the needs of a regional economy with the production and resource potentials. The long-term sustainability balance model -a simulation of event-based forecasting- has been developed for the Russian exclave. The authors provide a general description of the balance model, its elements and simulation algorithm. The results of calculations using the balance model for forecasting regional development are provided for three alternative scenarios for the Kaliningrad region for the period until 2018.... view less
Keywords
production; prognosis; equilibrium model; Russia; border region; regional development; economy; resources; development potential
Classification
National Economy
Area Development Planning, Regional Research
Free Keywords
Exklave
Document language
English
Publication Year
2014
Page/Pages
p. 4-21
Journal
Baltic Region (2014) 3
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5922/2079-8555-2014-3-1
ISSN
2079-8555
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed