More documents from Peña, Ricardo de la
More documents from Revista Mexicana de Estudios Electorales

Export to your Reference Manger

Please Copy & Paste



Bookmark and Share

Las encuestas electorales en México: alcances y límites

[journal article]

Peña, Ricardo de la

fulltextDownloadDownload full text

(357 KByte)

Citation Suggestion

Please use the following Persistent Identifier (PID) to cite this document:

Further Details
Abstract There is a critical, based on simplifications and myths, about the accuracy of published electoral polls in Mexico, which has fueled an attitude barely self-criticism and self-indulgent in the professional guild. This polarization does not make clear the real scope and limits which may be shown as available evidence in these studies: it is clear that the surveys have warned properly about the competition's formats in most cases, but it is also clear that there are problems about the accuracy, whose solution is not at all simple and whose diagnosis and care which concerns the same pollsters that social analysts. It is true that for many years the polls could provide certainty to the electoral process and today this is not always the case, but it's true that it doesn't cease to be present phenomena simulation preferences for citizenship. This approach responds to several factors that are beyond the scope of public opinion polls and pointing to issues of political and cultural nature. (author's abstract)
Keywords Mexico; presidential election; survey research; opinion research
Classification Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture; Methods and Techniques of Data Collection and Data Analysis, Statistical Methods, Computer Methods
Free Keywords elections, presidential, Mexico, polls, accuracy, bias
Document language Spanish
Publication Year 2016
Page/Pages p. 8-36
Journal Revista Mexicana de Estudios Electorales (2016) 16
ISSN 1870-6665
Status Published Version; peer reviewed
Licence Creative Commons - Attribution