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Escenarios electorales para México 2006: el juego de Simon

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Peña, Ricardo de la

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Abstract From the approach of the rational election, this work analyzes the paper that plays the polls in the electoral processes: from the theoretical plane, it finds that the repeated polling cycles will tend to take to the voters to a "Duvergerian equilibria", guiding them to coordinate itself from its initial beliefs; with empirical evidence, it shows as this effect occurs indeed during the process of Mexican presidential election 2000 and suggests possible scenes for the dispute of the federal Executive in 2006. (author's abstract)
Keywords election; presidential election; election research; Mexico; election campaign; public opinion; opinion formation; voting behavior
Classification Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Document language Spanish
Publication Year 2006
Page/Pages p. 35-55
Journal Revista Mexicana de Opinión Pública (2006) 1
ISSN 1870-7300
Status Published Version; peer reviewed
Licence Creative Commons - Attribution