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Balancing on the brink: Lebanon, tangled up in the Syrian war, struggles to maintain its stability


Wimmen, Heiko

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Corporate Editor Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract So far, the Syrian war and the involvement of Lebanese actors in it has not spread to Lebanon, despite the fears of many. In spite of irreconcilable differences on the Syrian issue, Lebanon’s political camps have reached a fragile consensus that makes it possible for political institutions to function at least rudimentarily and for the security situation to be provisionally stabilized. However, this consensus remains precarious and threatened by the ambitions of Lebanese actors and by regional tensions. Moreover, Hezbollah’s active involvement in the Syria conflict steadily increases the likelihood of a renewed military confrontation with Israel. Germany and its European partners must do their part to pre-empt such a confrontation, to support the dialogue between the Lebanese parties through mediation, and to stop regional tensions from spilling over. (Autorenreferat)
Keywords Lebanon; domestic policy; political development; domestic security; international security; Syria; civil war; religious group; head of state; military; stabilization; risk assessment
Classification Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Document language English
Publication Year 2015
City Berlin
Page/Pages 7 p.
Series SWP Comments, 24/2015
ISSN 1861-1761
Status Published Version; reviewed
Licence Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications