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Yemen: GCC roadmap to nowhere : elite bargaining and political infighting block a meaningful transition


Transfeld, Mareike

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Corporate Editor Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract The transformation process in Yemen, as initiated and defined by the roadmap of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), is frequently praised as a model for a peaceful transition. Despite some delay, formally speaking, the process appears to be on track. It has just entered a new phase with the conclusion of the National Dialogue Conference (NDC) at the end of January 2014 and the establishment of the constitutional drafting committee in March. While the results of the NDC present a good basis for the future Yemeni order, increased violent conflict on the ground is casting doubt on the way ahead. Rivaling elite factions continue to exploit the transition process for their own political and economic interests. This has blocked the emergence of a more participatory system. To support a meaningful transition, Germany and the European Union should pressure the transitional government to address the legitimate grievances of the popular movements that are challenging the rule of the old elites. (author's abstract)
Keywords Yemen; transition; political change; political power; power struggle; political elite; democratization; protest movement; political conflict; ethnic conflict; pressure-group politics; tribal society; Arab countries; international relations
Classification Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture; Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords Golfstaaten; Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf
Document language English
Publication Year 2014
City Berlin
Page/Pages 8 p.
Series SWP Comments, 20/2014
ISSN 1861-1761
Status Published Version; reviewed
Licence Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications