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Geneva II - a chance to contain the Syrian civil war

Genf II - Chance zur Einhegung des syrischen Bürgerkriegs

Asseburg, Muriel; Wimmen, Heiko

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Corporate Editor Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract Internationally mediated talks between the Syrian regime and opposition are due to begin on 22 January 2014 in the Swiss resort of Montreux. Their objectives: to end the violence and initiate a negotiated transition in the war-ravaged country. However, it is still unclear whether it will be possible to gather all the relevant participants around the table, nor whether the conference will actually convene at all on the planned date. A realistic analysis of the local, regional and international conflicts of interest cautions pessimism in relation to Geneva II’s prospects of success. But the risk of further regional escalation, massive refugee movements and a catastrophic humanitarian situation make a meeting a matter of urgency. Small advances, such as an agreement on regional containment or a commitment by all warring parties to respect international humanitarian law and to grant humanitarian access, would nonetheless be meaningful. In the interests of the Syrian civilian population, Europe should see to it that the meeting provides room to negotiate such measures even if they fall short of a comprehensive political resolution. (author's abstract)
Keywords Syria; civil war; conflict management; international cooperation; peace negotiation; peacekeeping; UNO; humanitarian aid
Classification Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy; International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Free Keywords Übergang zwischen politischen Systemen; Übergangsregierung; Asad, Bassar al-
Document language English
Publication Year 2014
City Berlin
Page/Pages 7 p.
Series SWP Comments, 10/2014
ISSN 1861-1761
Status Published Version; reviewed
Licence Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications