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Fractal modeling of historical demographie processes

Fraktale Modellierung historisch-demographischer Prozesse
[journal article]

Zhukov, Dmitry; Kanishchev, Valery; Lyamin, Sergey K.

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Abstract "The article presents several results of the computer modeling of demographic processes in the late traditional rural communities by means of fractal geometry. A team of contributors developed a model and software for it, then carried out its verification, data processing, computer modeling and Interpretation of results. The analysis of modeling outcomes allowed to build a holistic picture of the demographic behavior in rural communities of the Tambov province - one of the typical agrarian regions of 19th and 20th century Russia. Authors describe the degree and ways of how demographic behavior of the society was influenced by such factors as famine, war, epidemics, a level of health care infrastructure development, etc. Besides, it was possible to trace some non-linear effects in demographic strategies agrarian communities followed during modernization processes in Russia in the second half of the 19th and 20th centuries." (author's abstract)
Keywords Russia; model; model analysis; model construction; historical analysis; historical development; demographic factors; demographic transition; agricultural population; agricultural area; modernization; strategy
Classification Population Studies, Sociology of Population; Social History, Historical Social Research
Method descriptive study; empirical; quantitative empirical; theory application
Document language English
Publication Year 2013
Journal Historical Social Research, 38 (2013) 2
Issue topic 271-287
ISSN 0172-6404
Status Published Version; peer reviewed
Licence Creative Commons - Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works