Mehr von Zeigler, Sean; Pierskalla, Jan H.; Mazumder, Sandeep
Mehr von Journal of Conflict Resolution
Export für Ihre Literaturverwaltung
Übernahme per Copy & Paste
Bibtex-Export
Endnote-Export
Weiterempfehlen
War and the Reelection Motive: Examining the Effect of Term Limits
[Zeitschriftenartikel]
Zeigler, Sean; Pierskalla, Jan H.; Mazumder, Sandeep
Volltext herunterladen
(258 KByte)
Zitationshinweis
Bitte beziehen Sie sich beim Zitieren dieses Dokumentes immer auf folgenden Persistent Identifier (PID):http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-375543
Weitere Angaben:
| Abstract | This article investigates the relationship between term limits and international conflict. Theories of political survival and diversionary war both imply term limits should play a role in international relations, whereas “permanent referendum theory,” largely motivated by work in American politics, suggests otherwise. Drawing on these theories, we formulate and test competing hypotheses regarding term limits and international crises. Using dyadic militarized interstate disputes data and information on forty-eight democracies with term limits, we uncover strong evidence to support the claim that leaders reaching final terms in office are more likely to initiate conflict than those still subject to reelection. Moreover, we find that the likelihood of conflict initiation is significantly higher during times of recession, but only in the absence of binding term limits. While binding electoral terms and economic downturns are both independently associated with increased levels of conflict initiation, in concert their conditional effects actually counteract each other. |
| Thesaurusschlagwörter | international conflict; head of state; president; presidential election; domestic policy; power; political leadership; securing of power; international relations |
| Klassifikation | politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur; Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, Sicherheitspolitik |
| Methode | empirisch |
| Freie Schlagwörter | term limits; diversionary war |
| Sprache Dokument | Englisch |
| Publikationsjahr | 2013 |
| Seitenangabe | S. 1-27 |
| Zeitschriftentitel | Journal of Conflict Resolution (2013) |
| DOI | http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002713478561 |
| ISSN | 0022-0027 |
| Status | Postprint; begutachtet (peer reviewed) |
| Lizenz | Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung |
| Dieser Beitrag ist mit Zustimmung des Rechteinhabers aufgrund einer (DFG geförderten) Allianz- bzw. Nationallizenz frei zugänglich. |
