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Polls, coalition signals and strategic voting: an experimental investigation of perceptions and effects

Abstimmungen, Koalitionssignale und strategisches Wählen: eine experimentelle Untersuchung der Wahrnehmung und der Effekte
[journal article]

Meffert, Michael F.
Gschwend, Thomas

Abstract

"Polls and coalition signals can help strategic voters in multiparty systems with proportional representation and coalition governments to optimise their vote decision. Using a laboratory experiment embedded in two real election campaigns, this study focuses on voters' attention to and perception of... view more

"Polls and coalition signals can help strategic voters in multiparty systems with proportional representation and coalition governments to optimise their vote decision. Using a laboratory experiment embedded in two real election campaigns, this study focuses on voters' attention to and perception of polls and coalition signals. The manipulation of polls and coalition signals allows a causal test of their influence on strategic voting in a realistic environment. The findings suggest that active information acquisition to form fairly accurate perceptions of election outcomes can compensate for the advantage of high political sophistication. The theory of strategic voting is supported by the evidence, but only for a small number of voters. Most insincere vote decisions are explained by other factors. Thus, the common practice to consider all insincere voters as strategic is misleading." (author's abstract)... view less

Keywords
voting behavior; election; voting; strategy; coalition; coalition formation; experiment; multi-party system; election by proportional representation

Classification
Social Sciences

Method
empirical; quantitative empirical

Free Keywords
strategic voting; polls; coalitions; expectations

Document language
English

Publication Year
2011

Page/Pages
p. 636-667

Journal
European Journal of Political Research, 50 (2011) 5

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.2010.01986.x

Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications

Data providerThis metadata entry was indexed by the Special Subject Collection Social Sciences, USB Cologne


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© 2007 - 2025 Social Science Open Access Repository (SSOAR).
Based on DSpace, Copyright (c) 2002-2022, DuraSpace. All rights reserved.