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Dynamics of Political Opinion Formation including Catastrophe Theory

[journal article]

Sonis, Michael; Weidlich, Wolfgang; Huebner, Heide

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Abstract After Nazism and Communism new forms of totalitarianism fostered by religious fundamentalism have arisen at the turn of the present century. In view of this fact we present a parsimonious quantitative model designed to shed some light on the dynamics of the formation of totalitarian systems. The model is constructed according to the principles of “sociodynamics” that belongs to the broad field of nonlinear dynamic systems theory (NDS). It comprises two order parameters and four trend parameters. All of them are socio-politically interpreted. Stationary, stagnant and revolutionary system-phases are exhibited in 10 scenarios. The relation to catastrophe theory is discussed.
Classification General Sociology, Basic Research, General Concepts and History of Sociology, Sociological Theories; Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Free Keywords Political systems; Sociodynamics; Nonlinear dynamical systems (NDS); Catastrophe theory
Document language English
Publication Year 2008
Page/Pages p. 1-26
Journal Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 67 (2008) 1
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2007.02.002
Status Postprint; peer reviewed
Licence PEER Licence Agreement (applicable only to documents from PEER project)