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Pricing Inflation Linked Bonds

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Pelizzari, Cristian; Paolo, Falbo

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Abstract This paper advances a pricing model for inflation linked bonds. Our proposal is developed starting from a Vasicek model of the instantaneous inflation rate process (Vasicek, 1977) and the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (CIR) model for the nominal instantaneous risk-free interest rate process (Cox, Ingersoll, Ross, 1985). Instead of adopting the standard approach of a cross-section estimation of the term structure of real interest rates, this work proposes a pricing model based on the estimation of inflation risk premium. The model is applied to Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS's), which are inflation linked bonds issued by the U. S. Department of the Treasury. Empirical validation is carried out on data in the period 1999-2005.
Classification Political Economy; Economic Statistics, Econometrics, Business Informatics
Method theory formation
Free Keywords Interest rates; Inflation-linked bonds; Continuous time stochastic models; Inflation rates; Treasury Inflation Protected Securities
Document language English
Publication Year 2010
Page/Pages p. 279-293
Journal Quantitative Finance, 10 (2010) 3
Status Postprint; peer reviewed
Licence PEER Licence Agreement (applicable only to documents from PEER project)