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German parliamentary elections 2005 in the mirror of party manifestos

Bundestagswahl 2005: Ergebnisse im Spiegel der Parteiprogramme
[working paper]

Tangian, Andranik S.

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Corporate Editor Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliches Institut in der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung
Abstract "Five leading German political parties and their coalitions are evaluated with regard to party manifestos and results of the 2005 parliamentary elections. For this purpose, the party manifestos are converted into Yes/No answers to 95 topical questions (Relax the protection against dismissals? Close nuclear power plants? etc.). On each question, every party represents its adherents as well as those of the parties with the same position. Therefore, a party usually represents a larger group than its direct adherents. The popularity of a party is understood to be the percentage of the electorate represented, averaged on all the 95 questions. The universality of a party is the frequency of representing a majority of electors. The questions are considered either unweighted, or weighted by an expert, or weighted by the number of GOOGLE-results for given keywords (the more important the question, the more documents in the Internet). The weighting however plays a negligible role because the party answers are backed up by the party \ideology" which determines a high intra-question correlations. The SPD (Social-Democratic Party) did not receive the highest percentage of votes, remains nevertheless the most popular and the most universal German party. A comparison of the election results with the position of German Trade Union Federation (DGB) reveals its high representativeness as well. Finally, all coalitions with two and three parties are also evaluated. The coalition CDU/SPD (which is currently in power) is the most popular, and the coalition SPD/Green/Left-Party (which failed due to personal con°icts) is the most universal. Keywords: Parliamentary election, fractions, coalitions, theory of voting, mathematical theory of democracy, indices of popularity and universality, German Trade Union Federation (DGB)." (author's abstract)
Keywords Federal Republic of Germany; election to the Bundestag; party; election result; faction; coalition; trade union; political program; election; parliamentary election; DGB; Alliance 90/ The Greens; Christian Democratic Union; Social Democratic Party of Germany; Free Democratic Party
Classification Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Free Keywords parliamentary election; fractions; coalitions; theory of voting; mathematical theory of democracy; indices of popularity and universality; German Trade Union Federation (DGB)
Document language English
Publication Year 2006
City Düsseldorf
Page/Pages 40 p.
Series WSI-Diskussionspapier, 139E
Licence Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications
data provider This metadata entry was indexed by the Special Subject Collection Social Sciences, USB Cologne