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Russia as a 'virtual great power': implications of its declining role in European and Eurasia security

[journal article]

Umbach, Frank

Abstract

"Russland befindet sich langfristig weiterhin in einem sozioökonomischen Abstieg. Es ist unrealistisch zu erwarten, dass Moskau seinen alten Status als Supermacht wiedergewinnen wird. Stattdessen werden die EU und die VR China Russland auf dem eurasischen Kontinent an internationaler Bedeutung überh... view more

"Russland befindet sich langfristig weiterhin in einem sozioökonomischen Abstieg. Es ist unrealistisch zu erwarten, dass Moskau seinen alten Status als Supermacht wiedergewinnen wird. Stattdessen werden die EU und die VR China Russland auf dem eurasischen Kontinent an internationaler Bedeutung überholen." (Autorenreferat)... view less


"Instead of analyzing just some recent developments of Russia's domestic, foreign and security policies, this article focuses in particular on mid- and long-term strategic trends and the consequences of Russia's decline for European and Eurasian Security. It argues that Russia is still in a long-ter... view more

"Instead of analyzing just some recent developments of Russia's domestic, foreign and security policies, this article focuses in particular on mid- and long-term strategic trends and the consequences of Russia's decline for European and Eurasian Security. It argues that Russia is still in a long-term socio-economic decline and it is unrealistic to expect that Moscow will regain its former status as a Great Power or even Superpower in the mid-term future even of its economy and military power improve rapidly and substantially. Against this background, two other powers of the Eurasian landmass, the EU and China will surpass Russia in international standing and secure great power status in the coming decades with far-reaching consequences for the international system and Russia's security as well as for its role in Europe and Central as well a East Asia. In this light, the article analyzes strategic trends in domestic, foreign and security policies, including the impact of often overlooked factors such as demographic trends and the health crisis, of decentralization, regionalization and fragmentation within the Russian Federation, the future of Russia's military reform policies (including Russia's draft military doctrine of October 1999 and its nuclear illusions) and their implications for Russia's future foreign and security policies." (author's abstract)... view less

Keywords
EU; foreign policy; Asia; great power; Russia; recession; domestic policy; European security; China; security policy

Classification
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy

Method
descriptive study

Document language
English

Publication Year
2000

Page/Pages
p. 87-122

Journal
European Security, 9 (2000) 3

Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications

Data providerThis metadata entry was indexed by the Special Subject Collection Social Sciences, USB Cologne


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© 2007 - 2025 Social Science Open Access Repository (SSOAR).
Based on DSpace, Copyright (c) 2002-2022, DuraSpace. All rights reserved.