SSOAR Logo
    • Deutsch
    • English
  • English 
    • Deutsch
    • English
  • Login
SSOAR ▼
  • Home
  • About SSOAR
  • Guidelines
  • Publishing in SSOAR
  • Cooperating with SSOAR
    • Cooperation models
    • Delivery routes and formats
    • Projects
  • Cooperation partners
    • Information about cooperation partners
  • Information
    • Possibilities of taking the Green Road
    • Grant of Licences
    • Download additional information
  • Operational concept
Browse and search Add new document OAI-PMH interface
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Download PDF
Download full text

(1.338Mb)

Citation Suggestion

Please use the following Persistent Identifier (PID) to cite this document:
https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-209034

Exports for your reference manager

Bibtex export
Endnote export

Display Statistics
Share
  • Share via E-Mail E-Mail
  • Share via Facebook Facebook
  • Share via Bluesky Bluesky
  • Share via Reddit reddit
  • Share via Linkedin LinkedIn
  • Share via XING XING

Wählerstimmen durch Wahlkämpfe? Eine Analyse der Bundestagswahl 1990

Votes through election campaigns? An analysis of the election to the Bundestag in 1990
[journal article]

Finkel, Steven E.
Schrott, Peter

Abstract

'Mit Paneldaten zur Bundestagswahl 1990 testen wir ein Modell, das entwickelt wurde, um Wahlkampfeffekte auf das individuelle Wahlverhalten und den Wahlausgang zu messen. Die dominanten Effekte im deutschen Wahlkampf sind einerseits die 'Verstärkung' von vorhandenen Präferenzen und andererseits die ... view more

'Mit Paneldaten zur Bundestagswahl 1990 testen wir ein Modell, das entwickelt wurde, um Wahlkampfeffekte auf das individuelle Wahlverhalten und den Wahlausgang zu messen. Die dominanten Effekte im deutschen Wahlkampf sind einerseits die 'Verstärkung' von vorhandenen Präferenzen und andererseits die 'Aktivierung' latenter Wahldispositionen, die auf solch fundamentalen individuellen Eigenschaften wie Parteieneingang und Links-Rechts-Einschätzung basieren. Diese Befunde bestätigen die Lazarsfeld et. al. Studien der frühen vierziger Jahre und auch neuere Wahlstudien in den USA. Gleichzeitig zeigen die Analysen, daß immerhin 13 Prozent der Wähler im Laufe des Wahlkampfes 'konvertierten', d. h. anders als bei ihren ursprünglichen politischen Einstellungen und Wahlabsichten stimmten. Diese Verschiebung war zugunsten der Regierung und wohl dafür verantwortlich, daß ein anfängliches Kopf-an-Kopf-Rennen in einem soliden Sieg der Regierungskoalition mündete.' (Autorenreferat)... view less


'Using national survey panel data collected in Germany during the 1990 federal election campaign, we develop a model to assess the effect of the campaign on individual votes and the election outcome. We find that dominant effects of the campaign on German voters were the 'reinforcement' of earlier p... view more

'Using national survey panel data collected in Germany during the 1990 federal election campaign, we develop a model to assess the effect of the campaign on individual votes and the election outcome. We find that dominant effects of the campaign on German voters were the 'reinforcement' of earlier preferences and the 'activation' of latent vote dispositions based on fundamental individual attitudes such as party affiliations and left-right ideology. At the same time, the analysis shows that the number of campaign converts, those who vote against their dispositions and prior preferences, was approximately 13 per cent of the electorate. The vote division among these individuals was overwhelmingly pro-government, suggesting that the 1990 German campaign altered a sufficient number of votes to turn what was an even contest, based on the electrorate's initial dispositions, into a solid government coalition victory. The results are discussed in terms of their theoretical as well as normative implications.' (author's abstract)|... view less

Keywords
voting behavior; party; preference; election to the Bundestag; analysis; election campaign; election result

Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Methods and Techniques of Data Collection and Data Analysis, Statistical Methods, Computer Methods

Method
empirical; basic research

Document language
German

Publication Year
1994

Page/Pages
p. 7-34

Journal
ZUMA Nachrichten, 18 (1994) 34

Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications


GESIS LogoDFG LogoOpen Access Logo
Home  |  Legal notices  |  Operational concept  |  Privacy policy
© 2007 - 2025 Social Science Open Access Repository (SSOAR).
Based on DSpace, Copyright (c) 2002-2022, DuraSpace. All rights reserved.
 

 


GESIS LogoDFG LogoOpen Access Logo
Home  |  Legal notices  |  Operational concept  |  Privacy policy
© 2007 - 2025 Social Science Open Access Repository (SSOAR).
Based on DSpace, Copyright (c) 2002-2022, DuraSpace. All rights reserved.